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Short Selling is a trading strategy that investors use to profit when the price of their asset declines. Unlike traditional trading, this strategy focuses on selling the stocks at current prices and rebuying them lower. In a volatile market, short trading has high risks if not studied religiously.
The main profit area of short sellers is when the security’s price drops suddenly. In this blog, you can explore the fundamentals of the trading method and identify its market regulations. Here are tips and tricks to trade like a pro!
Table of Contents
1) What is Short Selling?
2) How Does Short Selling Work?
3) Short Selling Process
4) How to Time a Short Sale?
5) Effective Short Selling Strategies
6) Benefits of Short Selling
7) Drawbacks of Short Selling
8) Real-world Examples of Short Selling
9) Short Selling vs Traditional Investing
10) Conclusion
What is Short Selling?
In Short Selling, investors meditate on stock price decline to sell them when the price drops in the future. It is an investment strategy of buying low and selling at higher rates depending upon their prediction. Investors speculate on the current stock market to sell their shares hoping to repurchase them for less money.
Short Selling hopes the price of the stocks to decline over time to sell them off in the market making it a common strategy in navigating Bull vs Bear Market. It focuses on repurchasing them after there is a surge in price. It is a short-time term strategy which depends on knowledge and time management.
How Does Short Selling Work?
Short Selling is the exact opposite to traditional investment techniques. Here, investors wait for their chosen investment to fall so that they make a profit. They lose their shares when they rise at the current stock market rates.
Accordingly, they buy the shares back when the prices fall to differentiate between the price they sell and bought. Here are two examples of how short-selling works:
Profitable Shorting
Let’s understand profitable sharing with an example
For instance, you decide to borrow shares from a broker and sell them at £3.00. Suddenly, after a month of market research, you see the price dropped to £2.00. This is your chance to profit from a lower stock price.
Now, you can buy the shares again at a market rate of £2.00 and return them to the broker. You make a profit of £1.00, which falls under the profitable shorting category.
Loss-making Shorting
Let's understand loss-making sharing using the same example. In case you decided not to buy the shares at £2.00 as you thought it can fall apart. Despite that a company announces a takeover bid and jumps to £3.00.
Now, what happened? You missed the opportunity to make a profit, however, you are at a loss buying the shares.
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Short Selling Process
It is essential to walk through the steps of Short Selling to become a successful investor. These are a step-by-step process for better understanding:
Set up a Margin Account
To become a successful trader and engage in short selling, you have to open a margin account with a broker. This can be a gate for you to borrow shares from them. It requires a minimum balance, that is the maintenance margin which covers potential losses. After setting up the margin account, the broker starts charging interest on the borrowed shares.
Choose a Stock to Short
Following the margin account, traders identify stocks which they studied and believe to decline in value. This step includes analysing the financial reports, technical indicators, industry trends and board market passion.
This step involves speculating the stocks based on the market study and expectation of the stock price to drop. Identifying the stock too short allows the trader to gain profit by buying the stocks back later at a lower price.
Find Borrowable Shares
The next step that the broker follows is locating the shares that can be borrowed before they can short sell. Now, it is an automatic process. Brokers handle finding borrowable shares from the institutional leaders and client’s account.
Execute the Short Sale Order
The shares will more likely be available on the brokerage platform after the above steps. There is a list of shares that will be shortened and made available to the investors. Now, the trader enters the market or limits order to shorten the stock price.
Track Your Position
This is the next step after the traders open the short position. Here in, the experienced traders monitor the market and the stock performance. Here are two questions:
a) What do you expect now
b) Is the stock price expected to increase or decrease
Exactly! Since the trader sold their borrowed shares. They will expect the stock price to decline. This can help them to repurchase the stocks at lower rates.
However, let's discuss the repercussions as well. In case the stock price increases, the trader will face a loss. Theoretically, there is no limit to the price rising so the loss is also not predictable. Traders have to keep track on the interest rate changes on the borrowed shares and margin requirements.
Close the Short Position
Now, it's time to close the short position which allows the traders to buy the borrowed shares back and return to the lender. Ideally, investors call this process covering the short. In principle, the shares are repurchased by the traders at a lower price to see the difference in the profit scale.
The advantages of short position closure are huge profit, commissions and fewer interest charges. This process includes entering into the brokerage platform to buy an order for the same number of shares they sold.
Evaluate the Trade Outcome
In this step, experienced traders examine the outcomes of the trade transactions after the position gets closed. Traders can polish their strategies for future Short Selling profit margin by analysing the trade’s failure or success.
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How to Time a Short Sale
Time management has always been the primary motive for investors to excel in their field. It is the same when it comes to Short Selling. The process of stock declination is faster thus, profit can disappear if time is not managed.
Taking essential steps later in selling stocks can miss the stock earnings. In contrast, early investment can also make profit making difficult as the short position rises with the stock price. Here are the following conditions that short sellers follow:
1) Tolerate Market: Traders who bear with the market have a better chance of making a profit from Short Selling. Profits from the short-scale market are noticeably higher from the bull phase. When the market decline is swift and deep, short sellers make their move.
2) Sustain Technical Indicators: Short Selling mostly succeeds when the indicators confirm the trend. These technical indicators include a long-term support and a crossover for example the death cross.
3) Decrease In Fundamentals: There are some prominent reasons for the declining stock fundamentals. They are slow profit growth and revenue, facing business challenges and a rise in input costs. Worse situations include economic degradation, war or decrease in trade volume.
4) High Level Valuations: sometimes, valuations increase for the whole market reaching an elevated height. It is named as “Priced for Perfection” by the market professionals. In this case, investors’ expectations are not met, leaving them disappointed. Experienced investors will take time for the market to heal.
Effective Short Selling Strategies
It's important to comprehend the Short Selling strategies to gain insights of the trading market. Here are some effective market strategies:
Profit Opportunities
Let's use an example here to interpret profit strategy in a proper manner!
Suppose a trader study that a stock named ABC is going to decline in the next few months. They borrow 50 shares and sell them to another investor. Here the shares can be called short as they are borrowed not owned.
Sometimes later, the price of the stocks falls apart and it was the time for the trader to close the shorts and buy them back. The trader’s profit here includes the extra margin excluding the commissions and interest.
Potential Losses
If you use the example used above, imagine the trader did not close the short positions and wait for further decline.
In this case, the trader had to buy the stocks at higher prices to return the numbers back to the investors.
Hedging Risks
The primary objective here is protecting the gains to minimize the losses. Short Selling hedge aims at shorting the stock to hedge against the market losses.
It is often noticed as a lower risk in the trading strategy. Mostly hedge funds tries to protect market risk by selling the short stocks which were overvalued.
Benefits of Short Selling
Here are some advantages of Short Selling:
a) Profits can be made if the prediction of price fall is assumed right
b) Margin maintenance, dividends and commissions, anyone can be the sole investment
c) It can be used for Hedging against market risks.
Drawbacks of Short Selling
Short Selling has its downsides too; let’s study the drawbacks:
a) Borrowing from broker involves interest, commission and margin maintenance
b) It is time-sensitive, so traders need to be attentive towards the market
c) There is a risk of a short squeeze while buying the stocks back
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Real-world Examples of Short Selling
In October 2008, Volkswagen turned out to be the most valued public trading company due to short squeeze. The investors knew that Porsche was trying to gain control over Volkswagen. The treaders expected that once Porsche takes control over the company, the stock vale can fall. So, they started to short the stocks which followed by a surprising event.
Porsche revealed that they acquired 70% of the company secretly. This news forced the traders to close the Short Selling position. Here the short sellers faced a disadvantage as 20% of Volkswagen was under the government and cannot be sold. Eventually the days to cover and short interest exploded that lead the stock price to much higher.
Short Selling vs Traditional Investing
Short Selling is different from conventional trading, depending upon certain restrictions.
Here are some basic differences between the two:
Conclusion
Short Selling allows traders to make a profit from the market waiting for the right time. They sell their borrowed shares, hoping to repurchase them at lower prices. It is known as the speculation method by the traders that helps them to hedge the risks. Understanding the advantages and disadvantages of Short Selling helps investors to monitor the market position. So, the wait is over, start your investment journey and rule the market.
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Frequently Asked Questions
When is Short Selling Profitable
Short Selling is profitable when a trader speculates the market properly and sells their shares. They wait for the shares price to fall below the price so that they can repurchase them again. The trader relies on make the difference between selling price and the purchasing price as the profit.
What are Short Selling Metrics?
The Short Selling metrics are used to track short-selling assets. There are some common metrics:
a) Short interest to volume ratio
b) Short interest ratio
c) Short interest rate
d) Average daily trading volume
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